Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.509208 0.565136 0.625462 0.695502 0.774744 0.861803 0.964945
2025-05-25 0.409182 0.483834 0.570457 0.678943 0.811930 0.970594 1.175655
2025-06-01 0.363675 0.448621 0.552158 0.688741 0.865799 1.089784 1.398111
2025-06-08 0.324810 0.414217 0.527509 0.683302 0.894623 1.175127 1.582113
2025-06-15 0.298756 0.392054 0.514321 0.688679 0.934854 1.275989 1.795133
2025-06-22 0.271940 0.365612 0.491930 0.677772 0.949424 1.340303 1.960815
2025-06-29 0.250607 0.344349 0.474067 0.670405 0.966684 1.408123 2.137167
2025-07-06 0.226020 0.316288 0.443943 0.641862 0.948758 1.419945 2.225333
2025-07-13 0.215053 0.306765 0.439463 0.650515 0.987413 1.521633 2.469506
2025-07-20 0.205048 0.297749 0.434768 0.657970 1.024169 1.622987 2.724327
2025-07-27 0.196027 0.289445 0.430323 0.665071 1.060413 1.726263 2.994275
2025-08-03 0.187134 0.280634 0.424299 0.668827 1.090919 1.822051 3.261628
2025-08-10 0.179602 0.273620 0.420858 0.676983 1.130479 1.939233 3.588324
2025-08-17 0.167866 0.259161 0.404454 0.661911 1.127778 1.979680 3.770266
2025-08-24 0.162007 0.253788 0.402467 0.671365 1.169837 2.107309 4.146444
2025-08-31 0.153902 0.244167 0.392663 0.666087 1.183854 2.182151 4.421160
2025-09-07 0.148324 0.238394 0.388939 0.671308 1.217962 2.299714 4.805474
2025-09-14 0.140515 0.228350 0.377157 0.660717 1.220210 2.352557 5.050390
2025-09-21 0.133857 0.219901 0.367626 0.653563 1.228494 2.418516 5.335182
2025-09-28 0.124505 0.206252 0.348045 0.625843 1.192664 2.386663 5.378950
2025-10-05 0.121207 0.203107 0.347191 0.634248 1.232028 2.522500 5.859481
2025-10-12 0.117933 0.199812 0.345830 0.641488 1.269488 2.658051 6.361139
2025-10-19 0.114799 0.196587 0.344379 0.648384 1.306742 2.797134 6.895272